Farense U23 vs Estrela Amadora U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
11º
10º
22
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 1
EST
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 4
MAF
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
POR
0 - 4
FAR
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 1
SAN
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BES
5 - 0
FAR
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
EST
2 - 4
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BES
1 - 0
EST
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
EST
36%
25%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
POR
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
EST
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |