Farense Sub 23 vs Benfica Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 1
POR
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
EST
3 - 0
FAR
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 0
ACA
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 0
MAR
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 1
FAR
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
BES
3 - 2
EST
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BES
7 - 2
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 5
BES
37%
26%
38%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BES
2 - 0
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
LEX
3 - 2
BES
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |