Farense Sub 23 vs Benfica Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
66.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
12º
8º
26
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
MAF
1 - 4
FAR
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 0
BES
10%
15%
75%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 1
POR
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
EST
3 - 0
FAR
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 0
ACA
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Benfica Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
BES
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
BES
25%
24%
52%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 0
BES
10%
15%
75%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
BES
3 - 2
EST
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BES
7 - 2
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |