Farense U15 vs Pinhalnovense U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
4.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
3º
2º
5
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 15 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 12 |
3º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
5 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 0
FAR
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
FAR
12%
17%
71%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FAR
3 - 1
OLH
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PIN
3 - 3
FAR
12%
17%
71%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FAR
0 - 0
LOU
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Pinhalnovense U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 2
OLH
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PIN
2 - 4
LOU
35%
23%
42%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
PIN
33%
23%
44%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PIN
3 - 3
FAR
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
OLH
1 - 1
PIN
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |