Faraones Texcoco vs Montañeses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
58.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1520%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
9º
9º
10
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 23 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 20 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 20 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 18 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 17 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 14 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 14 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 11 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 8 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 8 |
12º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
1.5% | 29% |
|
Possible next round
|
1% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 50.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faraones Texcoco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
JAG
2 - 0
CFT
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 77 | 50 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CFT
1 - 0
ZIT
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | +5 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PDC
2 - 0
CFT
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CFT
2 - 0
TCS
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CFT
4 - 1
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Montañeses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MON
3 - 1
RVC
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CDC
2 - 1
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MON
3 - 0
CAS
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AFC
0 - 4
MON
18%
21%
61%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
RVC
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |