Faraones Texcoco vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
56.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
11º
11º
5
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
5 | 23 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 23 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 21 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 20 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 19 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 18 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 12 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 10 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 9 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 6 |
12º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 36.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
5.5% | 62.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faraones Texcoco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZIT
1 - 0
CFT
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CFT
3 - 1
PDC
15%
21%
64%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TCS
2 - 2
CFT
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 1
RVC
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
JAG
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 0
CAS
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 18 | 56 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ATS
0 - 1
JAG
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +6 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
JAG
2 - 2
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |