Fano vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
51.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
MES
1 - 1
FAN
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
FAN
0 - 1
FCS
33%
28%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ABN
2 - 0
FAN
60%
23%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
FAN
1 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
REG
1 - 0
FAN
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TRI
3 - 1
ASG
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
PAD
5 - 0
TRI
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
PAD
2 - 1
TRI
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 1
TER
43%
28%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
POR
2 - 4
TRI
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |