Fano vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AMI
0 - 2
FAN
18%
24%
59%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FAN
5 - 0
REC
66%
20%
13%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ISE
0 - 0
FAN
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FAN
3 - 0
FVE
75%
15%
9%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
OLY
0 - 1
FAN
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SSS
4 - 5
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIS
1 - 4
SSS
17%
21%
62%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 1
SSS
27%
24%
50%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SSS
2 - 1
AVE
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |