Fano vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 1
FAN
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 0
MIL
47%
25%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 1
APR
37%
25%
39%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
EBO
2 - 4
FAN
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
4 - 1
FAN
67%
21%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
RAA
2 - 0
LAQ
40%
26%
34%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
APR
1 - 0
RAA
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RAA
2 - 2
ASM
58%
23%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
RAA
63%
23%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RAA
0 - 1
NEA
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |