Fano vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ISE
0 - 0
FAN
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FAN
3 - 0
FVE
75%
15%
9%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
OLY
0 - 1
FAN
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FAN
3 - 1
GIU
58%
23%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FER
5 - 1
FAN
62%
23%
16%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
REC
0 - 0
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VIS
2 - 3
REC
41%
27%
32%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
REC
1 - 0
CAS
63%
21%
17%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAM
4 - 3
REC
54%
25%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
JES
2 - 2
REC
50%
25%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |