Fano vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FAN
1 - 0
VSU
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ASG
1 - 0
FAN
72%
18%
9%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FAN
1 - 1
CAS
54%
26%
20%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
FAN
46%
24%
31%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FAN
1 - 1
VAS
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
UST
29%
27%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
MON
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SSS
2 - 0
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
VAS
29%
24%
48%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |