Fano vs Milazzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 1
APR
37%
25%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
EBO
2 - 4
FAN
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
4 - 1
FAN
67%
21%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 2
FAN
46%
26%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 1
GAV
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Milazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
CAM
64%
21%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GIU
3 - 1
MIL
34%
27%
39%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
GAV
38%
25%
38%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 2
FCC
36%
27%
38%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
APR
2 - 2
MIL
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |