Fano vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
FAN
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FAN
2 - 1
CAS
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 0
FAN
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FAN
1 - 0
AVE
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
FAN
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIS
1 - 1
MAT
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 2
CAM
49%
24%
28%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
MAT
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
FER
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAT
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |