Fano vs Maceratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TER
2 - 0
FAN
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 0
FAN
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
FAN
3 - 1
PAD
14%
23%
63%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
ABN
1 - 1
FAN
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FAN
0 - 2
SAN
21%
27%
52%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 4
POR
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
PAD
1 - 1
MAC
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
ANC
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 0
MAC
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 2
SSS
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |