Fano vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 0
FAN
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FAN
1 - 0
AMI
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
REC
3 - 2
FAN
26%
26%
49%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FAN
0 - 0
ISE
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FVE
0 - 3
FAN
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
JES
2 - 0
GIU
53%
24%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VIS
2 - 0
JES
43%
26%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
JES
0 - 2
MAT
29%
24%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
JES
51%
24%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
JES
1 - 0
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |