Fano vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 2
FAN
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 1
VIG
30%
27%
43%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LAQ
2 - 1
FAN
63%
22%
16%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 1
PAG
16%
26%
58%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ARZ
0 - 0
FAN
70%
18%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
GAV
0 - 0
ARZ
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
EBO
1 - 6
GAV
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 2
GAV
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GAV
2 - 2
RAA
49%
26%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 1
GAV
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |