Fano vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FAN
0 - 1
PAR
8%
18%
74%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FER
0 - 0
FAN
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FAN
1 - 1
ANC
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
REG
3 - 1
FAN
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FAN
0 - 0
MAC
19%
24%
57%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAN
21%
26%
54%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ACL
0 - 0
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 5
PAR
8%
19%
73%
|
34 | 67 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ASG
1 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FER
5 - 0
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |