Fano vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
RAV
3 - 0
FAN
56%
26%
19%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
FAN
0 - 0
ABN
35%
30%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ASS
1 - 0
FAN
62%
24%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SSS
0 - 0
FAN
57%
25%
19%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
FAN
1 - 0
TER
37%
29%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
RIM
39%
28%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
TER
0 - 1
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
POR
17%
25%
58%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VIC
0 - 0
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
ASG
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |