Fano vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 0
FAN
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FAN
1 - 0
AVE
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
FAN
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FAN
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 0
FAN
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
GIU
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIS
2 - 0
CAS
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAT
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +3 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
MON
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |