Fano vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 0
FAN
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SAV
2 - 3
FAN
77%
16%
7%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 2
BV5
16%
24%
60%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RIM
1 - 1
FAN
74%
17%
9%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FAN
2 - 1
PRO
12%
20%
68%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +3 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 3
FOR
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BV5
3 - 1
CAS
74%
18%
9%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
USA
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ACG
3 - 1
CAS
40%
26%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
REN
35%
26%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |