Fano vs Bassano Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
60.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RIM
1 - 1
FAN
74%
17%
9%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FAN
2 - 1
PRO
12%
20%
68%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +3 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
FAN
73%
18%
10%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FAN
2 - 3
REN
23%
25%
53%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 1
FCC
28%
24%
47%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BV5
1 - 0
VNZ
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 1
BV5
32%
24%
43%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BV5
4 - 1
VIN
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ACG
0 - 1
BV5
21%
25%
54%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RIM
1 - 2
BV5
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |