Fano vs Matese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
FAN
17%
24%
59%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
FAN
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FAN
2 - 1
CAS
50%
27%
23%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FAN
2 - 2
ASD
44%
28%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
UST
1 - 1
FAN
32%
24%
45%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Matese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 0
ASD
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 1
MAT
30%
23%
48%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 1
NER
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 3
VAS
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
POR
2 - 1
MAT
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |