Fano vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 0
FAN
74%
18%
9%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FAN
0 - 1
VNZ
14%
22%
64%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
FAN
76%
17%
8%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FAN
0 - 2
ASG
28%
27%
45%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
FAN
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
ACL
2 - 0
MAN
53%
26%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ABN
2 - 0
ACL
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FCS
0 - 0
ACL
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ACL
0 - 1
SSS
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ANC
0 - 1
ACL
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |