Fanfulla vs Corticella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
12º
12º
54
7º
20º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 60 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 55 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 53 |
8º
|
93% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 51 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 50 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
49 | 50 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 49 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
45 | 46 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
15º
|
45.5% | |
|
16º
|
45 | 45 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
45 | 45 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
40 | 40 |
18º
|
69.5% | |
|
19º
|
38 | 39 |
19º
|
69.5% | |
|
20º
|
13 | 13 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 75% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ACP
1 - 1
FAN
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FAN
0 - 2
ACA
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
USR
0 - 0
FAN
36%
26%
39%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FAN
3 - 0
SAM
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
RAV
1 - 1
FAN
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Corticella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
COR
3 - 2
SCA
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LEN
1 - 3
COR
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
RIC
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
COR
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
COR
1 - 2
MEZ
31%
23%
47%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |