Fanfulla vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
FAN
1 - 2
BRE
41%
24%
34%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
PRO
1 - 2
FAN
44%
21%
35%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
NAP
1 - 0
FAN
73%
16%
11%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
FAN
0 - 3
VIC
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
ACP
2 - 2
FAN
64%
18%
18%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
TAR
2 - 0
SIR
54%
21%
24%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
LIV
4 - 0
SIR
68%
18%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
SIR
1 - 0
USC
53%
22%
26%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
SIR
1 - 0
REG
39%
23%
38%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
SAL
4 - 1
SIR
72%
16%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |