Fanfulla vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
NOV
2 - 1
FAN
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
ROM
6 - 1
FAN
79%
13%
8%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
FOR
2 - 3
FAN
43%
22%
35%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
REG
2 - 3
FAN
87%
9%
5%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
FAN
1 - 2
VIG
44%
22%
34%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
BRE
2 - 1
SAV
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
LIV
2 - 0
SAV
77%
14%
9%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1940 |
SAV
3 - 0
ARZ
39%
23%
39%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
PON
4 - 2
SAV
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
SAV
0 - 1
PRO
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |