Fanfulla vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
BAR
0 - 1
FAN
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
FAN
3 - 0
PIS
65%
18%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
VER
3 - 0
FAN
73%
16%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
FAN
2 - 1
BRE
52%
22%
27%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
MES
0 - 1
FAN
69%
17%
14%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
MOD
4 - 0
ANC
69%
17%
13%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
SAL
4 - 2
MOD
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
MOD
1 - 1
SPA
52%
21%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
SPE
1 - 1
MOD
50%
23%
28%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
VNZ
3 - 2
MOD
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |