Fanfulla vs Grumellese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 1
FAN
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FAN
1 - 1
VIR
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DAR
0 - 2
FAN
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FAN
3 - 1
LEC
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FAN
1 - 1
DCA
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
GRU
27%
22%
52%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 0
PON
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 0
GRU
77%
14%
10%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 3
ASS
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 5
VBE
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |