Fanfulla vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 0
FAN
70%
17%
13%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
FAN
4 - 0
SPE
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
TAR
0 - 2
FAN
78%
12%
9%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
SIR
2 - 0
FAN
71%
15%
14%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
TRI
3 - 0
FAN
70%
18%
13%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | -2 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
CAT
0 - 0
UNI
64%
18%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 1
TAR
70%
16%
14%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 0
CAT
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
USA
3 - 1
CAT
68%
17%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
CAT
0 - 2
SIR
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -2 |