Fanfulla vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
69.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
15º
9º
72
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 45 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
94% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
94% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
FAN
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
FAN
0 - 1
VSM
54%
21%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
FAN
1 - 4
SAN
43%
22%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 1
FAN
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
BSD
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ACP
2 - 1
CAR
13%
20%
68%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
CER
1 - 3
CAR
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
IMO
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAR
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |