Fanfulla vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.7%
8.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
MOD
2 - 1
FAN
64%
19%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
FAN
1 - 1
BAR
66%
17%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
PIS
3 - 0
FAN
58%
21%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
FAN
3 - 2
VER
61%
19%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
BRE
4 - 1
FAN
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
ANC
0 - 1
MOD
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
VER
4 - 2
ANC
77%
14%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
ANC
2 - 2
BAR
48%
23%
30%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
USC
1 - 1
ANC
66%
18%
16%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
ANC
2 - 2
VIC
43%
24%
34%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |