Fana vs Lillestrom II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
13.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
10º
3º
29
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FAN
1 - 3
GIF
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ULL
1 - 4
FAN
7%
11%
82%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
FAN
8 - 2
GRO
79%
13%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
LYS
1 - 0
FAN
62%
20%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 2
FRI
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 2
STA
49%
20%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
SKE
4 - 0
LIL
25%
21%
55%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -3 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
LIL
0 - 1
SKJ
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
OTF
5 - 1
LIL
72%
14%
14%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 2
LOK
75%
15%
11%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |