Famalicão vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TIR
2 - 2
FAM
39%
28%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ACV
1 - 2
FAM
67%
21%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FAM
4 - 2
RIB
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 3
FAM
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 3
FAM
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
FEL
19%
24%
57%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 3
CAS
22%
25%
53%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TIR
3 - 0
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
ADO
23%
26%
51%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 1
1DE
21%
25%
54%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +5 |