Famalicão vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
68.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 1
FAM
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 3
POR
35%
27%
39%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MOS
0 - 2
FAM
13%
21%
66%
|
58 | 19 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
FAM
0 - 0
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
ACA
3 - 0
FAM
55%
27%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 3
SCP
19%
22%
58%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
SCP
2 - 0
WAR
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
SCP
4 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 1
SCP
16%
22%
61%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
RMA
2 - 1
SCP
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |