Famalicão vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
FAM
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FAM
0 - 1
LOU
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 2
FAM
23%
25%
52%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FAM
1 - 0
OSL
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAM
30%
30%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MER
3 - 2
MAC
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VIZ
4 - 4
MER
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MER
2 - 2
TIR
19%
24%
57%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ADO
2 - 0
MER
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MER
4 - 5
FAF
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |