Famalicão vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
7º
7º
6
9º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 75 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 70 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 69 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 68 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 61 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 53 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 46 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 41 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 37 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 37 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 37 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
17º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 1
FAM
56%
23%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FAM
1 - 0
BOA
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 3
FAM
26%
26%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FAM
2 - 0
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FAM
3 - 2
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 0
SPB
15%
19%
66%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
GFC
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
4 - 2
AVE
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
3 - 0
GFC
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 0
DEP
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |