Famalicão vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
63.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OLH
0 - 1
FAM
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FAM
0 - 1
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 1
PEN
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
FAM
0 - 1
FEI
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
FAM
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
FCP
19%
24%
56%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 1
FCP
12%
20%
69%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 5
FCP
11%
21%
68%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 1
RIO
69%
19%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |