Famalicão vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FAM
0 - 1
FEL
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FAM
1 - 2
ADO
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 0
FAM
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FAM
2 - 1
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FAM
2 - 1
POM
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FAF
0 - 0
BRA
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FAF
2 - 0
MIR
60%
22%
17%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
FAF
26%
28%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OSL
0 - 2
FAF
23%
27%
51%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 3
FAF
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |