Famalicão vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
66.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
BOA
5 - 0
FAM
56%
20%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
FAM
2 - 1
VST
48%
20%
32%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
SLE
2 - 1
FAM
67%
16%
17%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
FAM
6 - 1
ACA
63%
17%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
SCP
7 - 3
FAM
92%
6%
3%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
SLB
13 - 1
SAN
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
OLH
1 - 6
SLB
27%
20%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
SLB
4 - 1
VIT
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
SLB
3 - 1
EST
90%
6%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
SLB
4 - 0
FCP
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |