Famalicão vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
12º
11º
22
12º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 77 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 67 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 53 |
5º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 31 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 27 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 27 |
18º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AVE
2 - 3
FAM
20%
25%
56%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FAM
0 - 3
SCP
22%
23%
56%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LAG
0 - 2
FAM
5%
14%
81%
|
81 | 25 | 56 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
FAM
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FAM
0 - 0
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ARO
1 - 2
SPB
17%
21%
62%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EST
4 - 1
ARO
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 5
ARO
4%
12%
84%
|
80 | 26 | 54 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ARO
1 - 1
AVE
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 0
ARO
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |