Famalicão U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
9º
2º
6
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
7 | 27 |
1º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
9 | 27 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 25 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 24 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 23 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 23 |
6º
|
4.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 23 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 21 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 21 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 20 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 18 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 15 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 14 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 11 |
16º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
67% | 34% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
28% | 39% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Famalicão U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
FAM
1 - 0
VIZ
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 2
FAM
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FAM
4 - 1
RIO
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
FAM
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FAM
2 - 2
TRO
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ACV
1 - 2
GIL
49%
23%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
GIL
2 - 4
VIZ
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
GIL
0 - 1
BRA
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
LEX
0 - 1
GIL
16%
18%
66%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GFC
3 - 0
GIL
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | 0 |