Famalicão U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
7º
3º
15
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 19 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Famalicão U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BES
1 - 1
FAM
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
FAM
4 - 0
EST
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
FAM
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
FAM
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
VIZ
1 - 1
FAM
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
GIL
1 - 0
VIZ
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 1
GIL
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
GIL
1 - 5
EST
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
GIL
0 - 2
TOR
75%
14%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BES
3 - 5
GIL
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |