Famalicão U15 vs Penafiel Sub15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
3º
2º
7
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 15 |
2º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 1 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Famalicão U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
FAM
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FAM
2 - 0
VRZ
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
FAM
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
FAM
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FAM
0 - 2
PAÇ
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel Sub15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
RIO
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PAÇ
4 - 1
PEN
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 0
VRZ
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
FAM
19%
19%
62%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
PEN
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |