Falu BS vs Arlanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
70.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1958%
+108%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
10º
8º
58
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 41 |
3º
|
76% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 36 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 35 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 26 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falu BS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FOF
4 - 0
FBS
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FBS
2 - 0
OST
10%
15%
76%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | +7 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FCJ
1 - 2
FBS
89%
8%
4%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FBS
1 - 1
SAN
7%
13%
80%
|
6 | 36 | 30 | +3 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
IKB
2 - 0
FBS
87%
10%
4%
|
7 | 64 | 57 | -1 |
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 3
HUD
57%
20%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 1
FCA
36%
22%
43%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
SKI
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 3
FCA
25%
21%
55%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ASS
5 - 1
FCA
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |