Falkirk vs Partick Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
4º
1º
36
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
46 | 73 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 68 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 66 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 57 |
4º
|
64.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 43 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 36 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 27 |
10º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
75% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
25% | 76.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 0
HOM
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
FAL
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 1
QUE
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FAL
4 - 0
STE
78%
14%
7%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 5
FAL
23%
22%
55%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Partick Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 0
PAR
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
GRE
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
MHE
0 - 0
PAR
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 3
CLY
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
EDI
0 - 6
PAR
7%
13%
81%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | 0 |