Falkirk vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
5 - 0
FAL
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
FAL
2 - 2
COV
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
PET
1 - 0
FAL
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
COV
2 - 0
FAL
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
FAL
2 - 1
CLY
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
COV
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
AIR
2 - 1
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
COV
33%
25%
43%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
KIL
3 - 1
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
5 - 0
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |