Falkirk vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
ALL
1 - 2
FAL
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
FAL
3 - 2
AIR
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 0
FAL
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
TNS
2 - 0
FAL
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 0
STM
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
ELG
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
STE
0 - 2
MON
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
BER
82%
13%
6%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
CWB
0 - 3
MON
22%
27%
52%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
STI
0 - 5
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |