Falkirk vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2016 |
FAL
3 - 2
HIB
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
HIB
2 - 2
FAL
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
RAI
2 - 2
FAL
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
HIB
2 - 2
FAL
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
KIL
2 - 4
DUN
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 1
KIL
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
KIL
0 - 2
PAR
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HAM
0 - 4
KIL
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ICT
3 - 1
KIL
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |