Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
FAL
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 1
QUE
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FAL
4 - 0
STE
78%
14%
7%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 5
FAL
23%
22%
55%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 0
FAL
23%
21%
56%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
HOM
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 0
GLA
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FLE
3 - 0
HOM
17%
22%
62%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 5
TOT
13%
18%
69%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 2
LEY
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |