Falkirk vs Gretna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2008 |
ABE
2 - 1
FAL
53%
24%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
FAL
0 - 0
KIL
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
HOM
0 - 0
FAL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ICT
0 - 1
FAL
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
FAL
0 - 0
MHE
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 0
STM
44%
26%
29%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 2
ICT
36%
26%
39%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
STM
2 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 3
CEL
22%
23%
54%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ABE
3 - 0
GRE
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |